How proposed property tax reforms could reshape the UK housing market

The Times reports on a series of property tax measures Rachel Reeves is considering for the upcoming November budget, as the Treasury looks to raise £30 billion. The proposals span capital gains tax on higher-value main residences, new annual charges on premium homes, adjustments to council tax bands, and further taxation of rental income. Each option targets different parts of the market and comes with its own economic and behavioural implications. Together, they set out a potential shift in how property is taxed, owned and traded in the UK.

Original article source: The Times

The breadth of proposals under review signals a shift in how the government may look to balance revenue needs with property market behaviour. While several ideas focus on owners of higher-value homes, the potential impact reaches far wider – influencing mobility, investment appetite and the distribution of housing supply.

For buyers and sellers in London and the southeast, the policy direction matters. These regions hold the greatest concentration of homes above the thresholds being discussed, and any additional tax burden tends to influence listing patterns and price positioning. Even so, prime and near-prime markets have a long track record of adjusting to fiscal changes. When thresholds create new price sensitivity, values often stabilise rather than collapse, and demand redirects toward properties that avoid the sharpest tax points.

Landlords face a different challenge. Applying national insurance to rental income would add another cost at a time of tightening regulation. This may nudge smaller or highly leveraged landlords to exit, speeding up the shift toward more professionally structured portfolios. In periods like this, rental stock tends to reshuffle rather than disappear, creating windows of opportunity for cash buyers and incorporated landlords who can absorb the higher outgoings.

Council tax reform – whether through doubling upper bands or adding new tiers – would land as an ongoing cost rather than a one-off transaction. That alone can slow demand at certain price points, but it can also encourage movement in markets that have become stuck. Higher annual charges sometimes push owners to review their position earlier, which, over time, can help free up homes that rarely reach the market.

The idea of a proportional property tax, though politically complex, leans into mobility. Replacing upfront stamp duty with a recurring charge changes the economics of moving: fewer upfront costs but higher long-term expenses for those in more valuable homes. Models like this tend to increase transactions, particularly among households seeking better jobs, proximity to family or a more suitable size of home. In high-value areas such as London, the adjustment period could feel sharp, but the longer-term effect is usually a more fluid market.

Shifting stamp duty liability to sellers is the option most likely to dissuade downsizers. Many already wait for the right moment to move, and an added cost at the point of sale reinforces the inertia. That said, the market often adapts through price negotiation rather than outright gridlock, especially where there is deep underlying demand.

Taken together, these proposals highlight a government exploring how to align housing mobility with fiscal need. While any change creates uncertainty, history shows that the UK property market remains resilient, and clarity – even when the changes are challenging – usually brings activity back. For investors and long-term owners, the key is to watch how these ideas evolve, not just in terms of revenue, but in how they influence supply, demand and movement across the country.

Simon Osborne

BSc (Hons) MRICS

Real Estate Capital Consultant

Simon is a specialist in real estate finance and asset management with over 20 years experience in UK markets and the founder of Eden Park Capital.

Following roles with Cushman & Wakefield’s Investment & Finance division in Central Europe and Deutsche Bank’s European Real Estate Group, Simon re-located to the UAE where he was involved in setting up a development and fund management division for a regional family office located in Abu Dhabi and the restructuring of one of Dubai’s largest publicly listed real estate developers.

More recently, Simon has held principle lending and capital advisory roles at Fortwell Capital and Blackbear Capital.

His expertise lies in structuring and executing single and multi-jurisdictional investment and finance transactions across multiple sectors and geographies, including strategic portfolio and asset restructuring. He has a proven track record of delivering innovative and bespoke solutions for complex and challenging deals, and building long-term relationships with clients and lenders.

Simon holds a BSc (Hons) in Real Estate Management from Nottingham Trent University.

Gregor Brown

BSc (Hons) MRICS

Investment Consultant

Gregor is a chartered surveyor and the founder of G M Brown, a UK based commercial agency specialising in the industrial sector.

Prior to establishing G M Brown, he worked for Gerald Eve and Graham and Sibbald focusing on the industrial sector.

Gregor was named the Estate Gazette / Radius Top Dealmaker of the Year for 2020, 2022 as well as CoStar’s ‘Most Active Single Branch Agency’ for Industrial acquisitions and disposals in 2022/2023.

Between 2022 – 2024 Gregor has completed over 390 commercial leasing and sales transactions throughout the UK.

Gregor brings invaluable experience in the industrial sector to the Allanton team.

Gregor holds a BSc (Hons) in Property Management and Valuation from Glasgow Caledonian University and is a Member of the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (MRICS).

Sam Ewing

MA (Hons) MRICS

Investment Director

Sam is a qualified Chartered Surveyor with over 12 year’s experience in UK, European and Middle Eastern Markets.

Sam started his career at CBRE and Knight Frank undertaking valuation instructions for a range of clients focusing on banks and Real Estate Investment Trusts.

Thereafter Sam worked for Majid Al Futtaim Properties responsible for the asset management of retail and shopping mall assets with a portfolio value of USD 5.6bn. During his tenure he completed more than 245 deals with a revenue of USD 145m.

Most recently Sam has held roles with Aldar Investment as Senior Vice President within the Investment and Asset Management division. During his role, he has been responsible for the P&L of a USD 3.5bn portfolio spanning 400,000 sq m GLA across retail, residential, commercial and hospitality sectors.

He has also been responsible for the investment management of third-party assets held across UAE and central Asia markets with a book value of USD 4.5 bn.

Additionally, Sam co-led asset management initiatives for a USD 400m equity raise from one of the worlds largest private equity firms. Sam brings invaluable experience in the industrial sector to the Allanton team.

Sam holds a MA Joint (Hons) in Real Estate and Business Management from the University of Aberdeen and is a Member of the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (MRICS).

James Cresswell

BA (Hons) MSc MRICS

Asset Management Director

James is an experienced Chartered Surveyor with over 20 years experience working in real estate.  James started his career in the UK working for leading real estate consultancies, undertaking complex valuation work nationally within various asset classes.

Relocating to Dubai in 2010, James worked for CBRE and  laterally Cavendish Maxwell as Head of Valuation leading  and building a large team across the region whilst undertaking a range of valuations from single assets to large portfolios including development sites extending to 10 million sq ft and super regional malls.

James has acquired and developed assets in the UK and Dubai for over the last 15 years, building a strong network and deep knowledge of the UK  property markets across both commercial and residential sectors.

James holds a BA (Hons) in Business Studies from Brighton University, an MSc in Estate Management, from London Southbank University, and is a Member of the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (MRICS) since 2004.

Saeed Hashmi

BSc (Hons) MRICS

Investment and Strategy Director

A seasoned Chartered Surveyor with over 20 years of experience within the real estate sector. Saeed started his career in 2002 with leading property consultancies such as Cluttons and JLL, specialising in national investment, advising financial institutions and property companies on acquisitions and disposals of their real estate interests throughout the UK.

Moving to the UAE in 2009, Saeed primarily worked for a leading private equity investment company, launching one of MENA’s first real estate credit funds. He also acted as Investment Director for several direct real estate vehicles, as well as developing numerous mixed-use assets.

Prior to setting up Allanton Group, Saeed worked for JLL undertaking development advisory.

Saeed has undertaken proprietary development internationally over the past 13 years of both residential and commercial projects whilst building an invaluable network of partners.

Saeed holds a BSc (Hons) in Estate Management from Heriot-Watt University, a PG Dip in Architectural Project Management from The University of Edinburgh and is a Member of the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (MRICS) since 2004.